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Cargo Study Group Meeting 1999

Cargo: Revenue of the Millennium

 
 
Meeting Agenda
Thursday, March 4th
 
12:30pm - 1:30pm Registration
1:30pm - 1:45pm Welcome Note; Greg R. Reinhardt (UPS), AGIFORS Cargo Study Group Chair
1:45pm - 2:45pm  Introductory Section
2:45pm - 3:00pm Coffee Break
3:00pm - 3:35pm “Shippers and Forwarders: The Collective Need in the New Millenium”; Joseph L. Rosiek (Unisys) 
3:35pm – 4:10pm “British Airways: Investing in the future of Cargo”; Hilarie Sutlieff (British Airways)
4:10pm – 4:35pm  “A Simulation Model of Airport Ramps and Taxiways”; Swain Ottman (UPS)
4:35pm – 5:10pm  “Revenue Gains from Revenue Management for ad hoc Shipments”; Mikael Weigelt (PROS)
6:00pm - 11:00pm  Social Event: Walking Tour 
 
 
Friday, March 5th
 
8:00am – 9:00am Breakfast & Registration
9:00am – 9:40am “Cargo Capacity Forecasting Models for Passenger Carriers”; Bejugum V. Rao (SABRE)
9:40am – 10:20am “The Impact of Forecast Entity on Bid Price Revenue Management Systems with Applications in Cargo”
E. Andrew Boyd (PROS)
10:20am – 10:40am Coffee Break
10:40am – 11:20am “Package Flow Network Model”; Keith Ware (UPS)
11:20am – 12:00pm “An Algorithm for On-Line Cargo Routing”; Dirk Guenther (SABRE)
12:00pm – 1:30pm Group Lunch
1:30pm – 2:30pm Panel Discussion I: “Cargo Revenue Management: Current Status and Future Directions”
2:30pm – 3:00pm Coffee Break
3:00pm – 4:00pm Panel Discussion II: “Cargo Ground Operations”
4:00pm – 4:30pm Closing session: Feedback and Venue/hosting for next-year meeting
 
Presentations and Panel Discussions
British Airways: Investing in the future of Cargo
by
Hilarie Sutlieff
British Airways
In the face of increasing competition in the air freight industry British Airways has introduced a major change programme.  The programme covers the way we do business across all the network and embraces data quality and improved processes.  As a centrepiece we are investing in a new warehouse at the Heathrow hub.  The new facility will increase capacity but, more importantly, it introduces new automated handling of freight.  These changes will make the operation safer, more efficient and give the flexibility needed to respond to future demand.
 
A Simulation Model of Airport Ramps and Taxiways
by
Swain Ottman
United Parcel Service
This paper describes the development of a discrete-event simulation model of the United Parcel Service Airlines aircraft parking ramps and taxiways of the Louisville International Airport in Louisville, Kentucky. The simulation model is used to evaluate various aircraft parking plans and departure schedules. The objectives are to reduce trafiic congestion, taxi times, and rollout wait times.
 
 Revenue Gains from Revenue Management for ad hoc Shipments
by
Mikael Weigelt
 PROS Strategic Solutions, Inc.
Part of an overall cargo revenue management strategy is the development of a control methodology for making accept/reject decisions for ad hoc shipments. Simulations are presented demonstrating that significant revenue gains are achievable with relatively simple methods.
Cargo Capacity Forecasting Models For Passenger Carriers
by
Bejugum V. Rao
SABRE Technology Solutions
Besides day-to-day and seasonal variations, cargo capacity forecasts for passenger/cargo combination carriers depend on payload, mail loads, passenger loads, and passenger bag loads.  Cargo capacity forecasting is further complicated by the multi-dimensional nature of cargo, i.e., weight, volume, and positions.  Accurate capacity forecasts are important inputs to revenue-mix and overbooking models of cargo revenue management.  In this presentation, we will demonstrate that using certain forecasting processes and mathematical models, it is possible to obtain accurate capacity forecasts.
 
The Impact of Forecast Entity on Bid Price Revenue Management Systems
with Applications in Cargo
by
E. Andrew Boyd,
PROS Strategic Solutions, Inc.
A consideration in the development of revenue management systems is the notion of how the attribute space for arrivals should be partitioned. For example, if cargo arrivals are being forecast by weight/volume combinations, how should the weight/volume space be partitioned in order to achieve the best forecasts? We show that in a mathematically limiting sense all partitions are equivalent. The practical implications of the result are discussed at length.
 
Package Flow Network Model
by
Keith Ware
 United Parcel Service
This problem consists of determining an intermodal movement schedule and a set of flows using this schedule which will minimize the cost of delivering a given set of volume movement requirements. The solution to this problem will describe the legs UPS schould fly/drive, which aircraft feelt type should be assigned to each of the flight legs, and how packages should be routed through the resulting transportation network. The simultaneous Next and Second Day problem oer a one-week planning horizon is huge, with millions of potential movement legs and mollions of commodities. The development and formulation of the algorithm requires experimentation, numerous approaches and specialized mathematical code development. 
 
An Algorithm For On-Line Cargo Routing
by
Dirk Guenther
SABRE Technology Solutions
Cargo routing plays an important role in the cargo business. In general, customers specify only an origin-destination-pair, shipment characteristics and the level of service. It is the airline's opportunity and obligation to assign a route to each accepted shipment. The routing often has to be done on-line as the customer waits on the phone. We present an algorithm that efficiently finds routes that best meet a customer's specifications. In this context, we discuss different quality measures for routes. Computational results are given  showing the performance of our algorithm applied to the entire OAG. 
 
Panel Discussion I
“Cargo Revenue Management: Current Status and Future Directions”
In is a common belief that yield management in the passenger business has contributed significantly to the profitability of many airlines over years.  Convinced with the passenger yield management belly cargo carriers as well as freighter airlines are turning their attention to profitable loading of their cargo capacities.  Most of the airlines are either initiating first generation cargo revenue management practices or enhancing their current revenue management processes with next generation models.   

However, the extension of revenue management concepts from passenger business to air cargo business is a non-trivial exercise.  Unlike passengers, Cargo is multi-dimensional, weight, volume, and positions.  Cargo capacity for passenger/cargo combination airlines depends on passenger loads and passenger bag loads.  Product distribution channels for cargo products are different from those of passenger business.  The organizational changes required to implement the revenue management system can be very difficult. 

Objectives of this panel discussion is  

  • to review the current status of cargo revenue management business practices, 
  •  to discuss the challenges involved in implementing cargo revenue management systems, and 
  •  to predict the future direction of cargo revenue management.
 
Panel Discussion II
“Cargo Ground Operations”
The Cargo Airline can make money or lose money on the ground, what will it be. The lack of resources and the pressures placed upon the carrier for visibility and speed of service can create havoc if not orchestrated properly. An area where Operations Research becomes an applied science in order for the Airline to operate efficiently and make money. The panel will discuss this application and the different tool sets to make it happen. Do not miss this exciting time.
Introductory Section
The purpose of this section is to get to know each other. Each participant will briefly introduce himself/herself, give a short description of his/her past work in the area and state his/her expectations regarding this study group meeting. 
 
 
 
 

Participants

 
 
Companies Participants
American Airlines Nicholas Godbey
Britich Airways Hilarie Sutlieff
Continental Airlines Jennifer Deguzman 
Shauna Meyer
Delta Airlines Michael Cain 
Chris De Wolff 
Libby Williams
El-Al Airlines Galit Rosenblatt
IBM Russell Rushmeier
KLM Royal Dutch Airlines Wouter Couzy
PROS Strategic Solutions Andy Boyd 
Shankar Sivaramakrishnan  
Mikael Weigelt
SABRE Technology Solutions Dirk Guenther 
Raja Kasilingam 
Beju Rao 
Barry Smith 
Jimmy Walter
Talus William Niefadlik 
Brad Smallwood
TransSolutions Cenk Tunasar
United Parcel Service Airlines  Swain Ottman 
Gregory (Greg) R. Reinhardt  
Keith Ware
Unisys Joseph L. Rosiek
 
 
 
 Social Event
Walking Tour of the French Quarter
The walking tour will be a guided tour through the Quarter, highlighting actual, documented hauntings,
drinks in a haunted vampire tavern. Dinner will be arranged at the Palm Court Jazz Cafe, located in the central part of the French Quarter.

The entire package includes the following:

The tour runs from 6pm - 11pm on Thursday March 4th.

Note: This is a joint event with Schedule and Strategic Planning Study Group.
 
 

Special Announcements

Early Bird Lunch Special
There will be a free group lunch for early arrivals at the Les Meridien on March 4th, 12:00Noon; compliments of the Schedule and Strategic Planning Study Group.

Friday Night River Cruise
All participants are invited to join a River Cruise Friday night. The cruise is part of the social program of the AGIFORS Symposium. The cost of the cruise is NOT included in the registration fee. More details about the cruise will be available at the conference hotel.

 
 
 
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[Updated] May 13th, 1999 Dirk Guenther/Beju Rao